[1] The statistical significance of trends in tropical cyclones (TCs) in the South Indian Ocean (SIO) and the South Pacific Ocean (SPO) has been examined. Find out more and Get Ready Check out these other pages and resources to help you Get Ready. The eTRaP is a simple ensemble that allows for the generation of probabilistic forecasts of rainfall in addition to deterministic rainfall totals. 79 tropical cyclones have peaked as Category 3 severe tropical cyclones in the South Pacific tropical cyclone basin, which is denoted as the part of the Pacific Ocean to … Read more at straitstimes.com. Tropical storms are named in the Atlantic, East, Central and Northwest Pacific, in the South Indian Ocean, and in the Arabian Sea. The South Pacific Ocean Cyclone season officially lasts from November through the end of April, coinciding with the southern hemisphere summer season. US Dept of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service Honolulu, HI 2525 Correa Rd Suite 250 Honolulu, HI 96822 Taking this climate outlook scenario into account, n… The region was battered by Tropical Cyclone Harold in April this year, a category five storm that gouged a trail of destruction across the Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Fiji and Tonga. Users are reminded that posted SPSD position and intensity estimates are based on the application of the Dvorak technique to satellite imagery. The latest typhoon watches and warnings for the South Pacific Basin. By early May, tropical cyclone activity in the South Pacific Ocean rapidly dwindles. Map layers. Data. RSMC La Réunion - Southwest Indian Ocean RSMC New Delhi - Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal RSMC Tokyo - Western North Pacific and South China Sea Armenia tourist attractions: what to see in Armenia. Download. The route would be south of the South Pacific High Pressure zone and then north to the coast. Tropical cyclones have a significant impact across the Southwest Pacific, with the season officially starting in November and lasting until the end of April. While a little less frequent are cyclones in the area that goes from the Solomon Islands, the Samoa islands, the southern Cook Islands, to the Tuvalu. The area most likely to experience a tropical cyclone in the South Pacific is that of Vanuatu, New Caledonia, Fiji, Tonga, Niue and the islands of Wallis and Futuna. The Peru Current in the eastern South Pacific and the Benguela Current in the South Almost 90 percent of these storms form within 20° north or south of the Equator. The normal time to arrive in Durban or Richards Bay would be late October 2020. The Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability Product provides an estimate of the probability of tropical cyclone formation within the next 24 hours in 1 by 1 degree latitude/longitude areas from 45S to 45N and 0 to 360E. CURRENT CLIMATE Fiji is located south of the equator in an area known for the frequent occurrence of tropical cyclones with damaging winds, rains, and storm surge. The South Pacific convergence zone (SPCZ) is an extensive Southern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation feature that contains one of Earth’s most expansive and persistent convective cloud bands. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) provides tropical cyclone analysis, forecast and warning support for the Department of Defense, and other US Government assets in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Static and animated imagery of tropical disturbances and cyclones. Although cyclones can be seen coming days in advance, that doesn't always stop the catastrophic - and often fatal - consequences that come with living in the tropical South Pacific area. There are no tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific at this time. Active Tropical Storms Northwest Pacific Storms. in American Samoa, Cook Islands, Fiji, French Polynesia, Kiribati, New Caledonia, New Zealand, Niue, Pitcairn, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tokelau, Tonga, Tuvalu, Vanuatu, Wallis and Futuna Cruise with children, The cruise excursions: Cruising with Children, The trail to Mount Cook: the Hooker Valley Track, Spring blooms in New Zealand: lupines and broom, The Nugget Point lighthouse: an icon of New Zealand, The Catlins coast: a spectacular and wild coast, The hiking trails of New Zealand: The Great Walk, South Island of New Zealand: spectacular nature, Northland: a spectacular coast and green hills, Wellington: one of the cities with best quality of life, Auckland: the city of sailing boats, a cosmopolitan city, The North Island of New Zealand: volcanoes and cities, Flights to New Zealand: How to get to New Zealand, Samoa power plugs and sockets, telephones, Tonga power plugs and sockets, telephones, A work by Renzo Piano in Noumea, New Caledonia, Maré: the island with beautiful and wild beaches, Lifou: a raised coral atoll with beautiful beaches, New Caledonia power plugs and sockets, telephones, What to see on the Isle of Pines in New Caledonia, Huahine: ancient Polynesian temples and crops, Raiatea: the sacred island of French Polynesia, Society Islands: the prototype of the South Sea islands, Ahe Atoll: the atoll of the pearl oysters, Tuamotu islands: the islands of the atolls, Rimatara: the westernmost of the Austral archipelago, Rapa: the most remote island in French Polynesia, Raivavae: the Bora Bora of the Austral islands, Tubuai: the first stop of the mutineers of the Bounty, The climate of the Austral Islands: when to go, Austral Islands: the southernmost archipelago of Polynesia, Fatu Hiva: the most spectacular island of the Marquesas, Tahuata: an island with beautiful beaches and scenic bays, Ua Huka: the wild horse paradise of the Marquesas, Ua Pou: the island with bizarre shaped mountains, Nuku Hiva: the largest island of the Marquesas, Hiva Oa: the island of Paul Gauguin and Jacques Brel, Cruise to the Marquesas Islands with the Aranui cargo ship, The climate of the Marquesas Islands: when to go, Marquesas Islands: the wildest islands of Polynesia, Gambier Islands: an archipelago of French Polynesia, French Polynesia power plugs and sockets, telephones, A trip to Fiji: How to organize a travel to Fiji, The island of Kuata: strange rock formations in Fiji, The lagoon of the islands of Naukacuvu and Narara, Fiji, Manta rays snorkeling in the Yasawa, Fiji, The island of Nacula: low hills and beautiful beaches, Waya: the most beautiful mountains in the Yasawa, Sawa-i-Lau: the caves of the ancient Fijian god Ulutini, Yasawa island: the northernmost island of the Yasawa, The beaches and islands of the South Pacific, The climate of American Samoa: when to go, American Samoa power plugs and sockets, telephones, Practical advice for a travel to French Polynesia, The climate of southern Italy: when to go to southern Italy, The climate of Samoa: when to go to Samoa, The climate of Coral Bay: when to go to the Ningaloo Reef, The climate of Mauritius: when to go to Mauritius, The climate of Colombia: when to go to Colombia, The climate of the Cook Islands: when to go, The climate of the Tonga Islands: when to go to Tonga, The climate of Bolivia: when to go to Bolivia, The climate of Singapore: when to go to Singapore, The climate of Western Australia: when to go, The climate of Queensland: when to go to Queensland, The climate of Sulawesi: when to go to Sulawesi, The climate of Karijini: when to go to Karijini Park, The climate of Switzerland: when to go to Switzerland, The climate of Malaysia: when to go to Malaysia, The climate of the Philippines: when to go to the Philippines, Climate of New Caledonia: when to go to New Caledonia, The climate of New Zealand: when to go to New Zealand, The climate of the Fiji Islands: when to go to Fiji, The climate of Spain: when to go to Spain, The climate of Montenegro: when to go to Montenegro, The climate of the Iguazu Falls: when to go to Iguazu Falls, The climate of northern Italy: when to go to northern Italy, The climate of Easter Island: when to go to Easter Island, The climate of Chile: when to go to Chile, The climate of Sri Lanka: when to go to Sri Lanka, The climate of Grenada: when to go to Grenada, Algeria tourist attractions: what to see in Algeria, The climate of Cameroon: when to go to Cameroon, The climate of Andorra: when to go to Andorra, The climate of Medjugorje: when to go to Medjugorje, The climate of Reunion: when to go to Reunion, The climate of French Polynesia: when to go to Polynesia, The climate of Tunisia: when to go to Tunisia, The climate of Burma: when to go to Myanmar, The climate of Haiti: when to go to Haiti, The climate of Greece: when to go to Greece, San Francisco: the most beautiful city in the United States, The climate of Andalusia: when to go to Andalusia, The climate of 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